Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1172.827098 1325.747367 1493.649254 1692.103427 1920.800754 2176.714341 2485.647091
2025-11-30 946.290657 1154.041309 1402.503851 1723.408318 2129.564115 2630.018092 3298.760414
2025-12-07 791.495715 1013.763513 1294.805295 1679.751575 2198.734218 2881.889981 3862.042287
2025-12-14 681.581987 907.411751 1205.857164 1634.404062 2242.639756 3088.095297 4375.470396
2025-12-21 594.943445 818.017716 1123.937219 1581.121208 2259.146095 3247.029871 4831.713652
2025-12-28 557.479913 790.299142 1121.039216 1634.665895 2429.566218 3642.403020 5691.072145
2026-01-04 518.260479 754.750012 1101.344959 1658.349262 2554.080370 3979.224064 6503.488723
2026-01-11 482.480222 719.966551 1078.019294 1671.757138 2660.930425 4297.276619 7327.836721
2026-01-18 450.872124 688.038632 1055.076222 1681.699737 2760.796453 4612.753521 8191.577670
2026-01-25 429.924752 670.504929 1052.432270 1723.381371 2917.232358 5042.552047 9329.028712
2026-02-01 407.703292 648.672495 1040.295402 1746.737836 3042.686665 5430.539017 10445.846966
2026-02-08 385.642278 625.032002 1022.662915 1757.923736 3146.020897 5788.441996 11557.887141
2026-02-15 365.502573 603.590599 1007.909849 1774.678894 3265.588448 6201.114935 12875.318263
2026-02-22 349.234729 587.517397 1001.156950 1805.654454 3416.970525 6699.767601 14478.613663
2026-03-01 323.161908 551.991983 956.472882 1759.762597 3408.831992 6866.042240 15349.481998
2026-03-08 299.432246 518.794232 913.173413 1711.969579 3390.565907 7006.900277 16183.531053
2026-03-15 276.840757 485.988794 867.944130 1655.833137 3347.953430 7087.753121 16883.109900
2026-03-22 270.457338 482.661943 877.910793 1712.245837 3554.346368 7760.691404 19236.841112
2026-03-29 260.673975 472.133264 873.047597 1737.201737 3693.772474 8297.162520 21339.400113
2026-04-05 250.370426 459.816076 863.607157 1751.331093 3809.964537 8794.135599 23438.681878
2026-04-12 240.417264 447.444675 853.023517 1761.809198 3918.687080 9288.311898 25639.300173
2026-04-19 234.515839 442.647258 857.385389 1805.740299 4113.108004 10032.590160 28771.780439
2026-04-26 227.065370 434.182535 853.441097 1830.360403 4262.928768 10682.150319 31764.491143